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Research Notes are more in-depth analyses undertaken by BER economists and consultants.
Brief note intended as a more regular interface with our clients.
In-depth analysis of important political developments in South Africa.
The Impumelelo Economic Growth Lab is a unit at the BER, focussing on generating policy-relevant work and capacity building to achieve economic success in South Africa. This work is freely available to access on our website.
While acknowledging that SA faces a hill, “the highest, perhaps, we have yet to climb”, in terms of job creation and poverty alleviation, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan’s second Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) provided a more upbeat outlook for the economy and the fiscal position than was the case in the February Budget.
Read MoreWhile the most severe global recession since the Second World War ended some time ago, the fallout from the crisis continues to (periodically) haunt global financial markets. The latest source of concern is heavily indebted (mainly Southern, although not exclusively) European countries, most notably Greece. Despite recent upbeat data releases on the global real economy, in our view the most important conclusion from the European difficulties is that for the foreseeable future, the balance of risks for the global (and SA) economy is tilted on the downside.
Read MoreThis note explores the latest forecasts and methodologies for predicting international tourism volumes to South Africa during the 2010 FIFA World Cup.
Against the backdrop of a still challenging (albeit improving) macroeconomic environment, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan presented a Budget that aims to put SA on a more inclusive economic growth path, but at the same time dispelled any doubts about government’s commitment to prudent fiscal and monetary policies.
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